The conflict in Ukraine would have been the trigger for the beginning of a time of thaw in relations between Cuba and the United States, a geopolitical move behind which would hide the unconfessed desire of the Biden Administration to shield the Caribbean to avoid a reissue of the Crisis of the missiles of 1962 because the continuation of the Blockade against Cuba could generate a vacuum of unpredictable results in the midst of Cold War 2.0 between the US and Russia that could end up drawing a new geopolitical cartography in the Caribbean.
Despite Joe Biden’s hopeful statements about his intention to redirect relations with Cuba, in an interview with CNN, Joe Biden’s adviser for Latin America, the Colombian Juan González, ruled out a new thaw with Cuba and assured that “Joe Biden is not Barack Obama in the policy towards the Island” while adding that “the political moment has changed significantly.” These statements would have been corroborated by Biden’s express support for the recent riots that would be the tip of the iceberg of the new Color Revolution promoted by the CIA by declaring that “we join the Cuban people and their resounding call for freedom,” riots that ended up dissolving into nothing.
However, Biden’s decision to continue with the endemism of the Blockade and impose new sanctions on prominent Cuban leaders could generate a vacuum of unpredictable results in the midst of Cold War 2.0 between the US and Russia that could end up drawing a new geopolitical cartography in the Caribbean. Thus, Russia would be negotiating to install its military bases with Cuba, Venezuela, Nicaragua, Seychelles and Singapore with the unequivocal objective of expanding the Russian military radius, not being ruled out that if the Blockade against Cuba continues, we will witness the signing of a new Treaty of Russian-Cuban military collaboration (recalling the Secret Pact signed in 1960 in Moscow between Raúl Castro and Khrushchev), being able to revive the Kennedy-Khrushchev Missile Crisis (October 1962).
The conflict in Ukraine would have been the trigger for the change in the geopolitical perception of the Biden Administration and we are witnessing the beginning of a time of thaw in Cuba-US relations that, although they do not alter the harsh reality of an anachronistic embargo, mean the relaxation of certain measures implemented by the Trump Administration, such as the resumption of commercial flights to several Cuban cities, the suspension of the limit of 1,000 dollars in remittances, as well as the expansion of visas and support for broad universal Internet access on the island.
These measures were described by the Cuban Ministry of Foreign Affairs as “a limited step in the right direction” and will be reinforced by the prompt departure of Cuba from the List of “State Sponsors of Terrorism” that prevented the Cuban Government from accessing economic aid from international organization such as the International Monetary Fund with which we could attend the beginning of a new era pa for Cuba that would mean the assumption of an active role in the new global geopolitical scenario that would be drawing after the Ukrainian crisis.