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Is a peace agreement between Putin and Zelensky close?

The signs of Biden’s senility, the Afghanistan fiasco and the lack of parliamentary agreements to approve his New Deal program with investments valued at trillions of dollars, coupled with runaway inflation and the possible recession of the economy next year could lead to the Republican victory in the 2022 midterm elections that would anticipate a triumphant return of Trump in the 2024 Presidential elections.

Is a peace agreement between Putin and Zelensky close?

The Crimean crisis would have meant the return of the Brezhnev Doctrine (also called the doctrine of limited sovereignty), which established that “Russia has the right to intervene even militarily in the internal affairs of the countries in its area of influence”, establishing a network of orbital rings that will gravitate on the Russian aegis. Russia’s so-called backyard would be structured economically by the Eurasian Economic Union (EEU) made up of Russia, Belarus, Armenia, Kyrgyzstan and Kazakhstan and militarily by the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), an alliance of countries broken off from the former USSR made up of Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan and led by Russia with the aim of “countering external threats” and which would have resulted in the arrival of Russian and Belarusian troops in Kazakhstan to ensure permanence in the Power of the Kazakh leader, Tokayev and secure control of the Baikonur Cosmodrome, the largest space base in the world.

Regarding Ukraine, Putin tries to ensure that Ukraine does not enter NATO and that the Ukrainian dispute is outlined with the division of Ukraine into two halves, leaving the South and East of the country (including Crimea and the Sea of Azov) under the Russian orbit while the Center and West of the current Ukraine will sail in the wake of the EU. Thus, after the signing of an upcoming Peace Agreement between Putin and Zelensky, the imaginary line that would unite Kharkov, Dnipro, Zaporizhia and Kherson will become the new Berlin Wall of the Cold War 2.0, with which Putin will achieve total control of the Sea of Azov and the outlet to the Black Sea through Kherson, leaving Odessa as Ukraine’s only outlet to the sea. However, Putin is aware of the new action-reaction dynamic in which Russian-American relations will be involved as of this moment (Cold War 2.0) and that will result in the intensification of the US’s Kentish strategy to suffocate the Russian economy. This doctrine would be reflected in the recent implementation of sanctions against Russia that seek to achieve its financial starvation and economic suffocation that leads to a default or suspension of payments coupled with stratospheric inflation that causes an unaffordable cost of living for Russian society and that later lead to a Color Revolution against Putin.

Joe Biden’s harsh statements about Russia (“Putin is a war criminal”) and the implementation of sanctions to achieve economic suffocation and financial starvation of Russia as a result of the Ukrainian crisis have staged the arrival of Cold War 2.0 and the return of the geopolitical theses of George Kennan who stated that “saying that the overthrow of regimes hostile to the US is the main objective of the US intelligence services is an open secret”, which would be symbolized in the Biden blunder stating that “Putin does not deserve to be in power”, from which it follows that Biden’s obsession with making Russia submit to the dictates of the US would be an obstacle to achieving a new world order.

However, the signs of Biden’s senility, the Afghanistan fiasco, the lack of parliamentary agreements to approve his New Deal program with investments in social services, the fight against climate change and the construction of infrastructures valued at trillions of dollars would have caused a drop in his popularity rating to 40%. This, coupled with runaway inflation and the possible entry into recession of the economy next year after the war in Ukraine, could lead to the Republican victory in the 2022 midterm elections that would anticipate a triumphant return of Trump in the 2024 Presidential elections and that would entail the signing with Russia of a new Peaceful Coexistence Treaty.

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Germán Gorráiz López

Germán Gorráiz López is a political analyst writing on economic and geopolitical issues. His articles appear in a number of publications in Europe and the United States.

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