INTL CONFLICTSMIDDLE EASTOPINION

Is a war in the Middle East imminent?

Joe Biden would have given in to pressure from AIPAC and in a joint statement with acting Israeli Prime Minister Yair Lapid in the framework of his current visit to Israel, he has promised that “the United States will use all the elements of its national power to prevent Iran obtains a nuclear weapon”, since the sui generis American democracy The United States would have as a pillar of its political system the successive alternation in power of the Democratic and Republican Parties (both engulfed by the Jewish lobby), with Joe Biden being the new cover of the AIPAC. Thus, the surprise victory of Donald Trump against Hillary Clinton represented for Israel “losing a valuable friend to gain a better friend”, Donald Trump, who established the disjointed puzzle of chaos that ended with the victory of Democratic candidate Joe Biden, who in In 2007 he stated: “I am a Zionist. You don’t have to be a Jew to be a Zionist.”

Iran, the black beast of Israel?

In 1978, Zbigniew Brzezinski declared in a speech: “An arc of crisis stretches along the shores of the Indian Ocean, with fragile social and political structures in a region of vital importance to us that threatens to fragment and Turkey and Iran , the two most powerful states on the southern flank are potentially vulnerable to internal ethnic conflicts and if one of the two were to be destabilized, the region’s problems would become uncontrollable”, an outline of a theory that he finished drawing in his book “El gran world chessboard. American supremacy and its geostrategic imperatives” (1997), considered the geostrategic Bible of the White House as well as the bedside book of successive generations of geostrategists and political scientists.

Iran acquired a dimension of regional power thanks to the erratic policy of the United States in Iraq, (the result of the political myopia of the Busch Administration obsessed with the Axis of Evil) by eliminating its ideological rivals, the Sunni Taliban radicals and Saddam Hussein with the subsequent power vacuum in the area, for which it reaffirmed its inalienable right to nuclearization, but after the election of Hasan Rowhani as the new President-elect of Iran, a new scenario opened up and an opportunity for the resolution of the US-Israel nuclear dispute -Iran because a possible blockade of the Strait of Hormuz (through which a third of the world’s energy traffic passes) could aggravate the world economic recession and profoundly weaken the entire international political system, which would force the US to reconsider Iran’s role as a power regional and potential referee in the Syrian contest.

However, after the approval by the US Congress and Senate of a statement prepared by Lindsey Graham and Robert Menéndez that emphatically states that “if Israel is forced to defend itself and take action (against Iran), the US will stand by it to support it militarily and diplomatically”, we would be witnessing the increase in pressure from the US pro-Israeli lobby (AIPAC) to proceed with the destabilization of Iran by expeditious methods. Thus, the US Senate unanimously renewed until 2026 the Iran Sanctions Act (ISA) and after the launch of a new ballistic missile by Iran, Trump increased the sanctions against several Iranian companies. related to ballistic missiles without violating the Nuclear Agreement signed between the G+5 and Iran in 2015, known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), an agreement that the Trump Administration abandoned. Said abandonment had as a collateral effect the strangulation of Iranian crude oil exports and its entry into China’s orbit of influence, as well as an increase in its uranium enrichment to 60%, for which Israel would have moved its MOSSAD pieces through media attacks. and selective to destabilize the regime of the Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei while having sealed alliances with the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia to form an entente against Iran.

Does Joe Biden need a new War to win the 2024 Presidential?

Bibi’s fall from grace with AIPAC crystallized in the Coalition Government led by the centrist Yair Lapid and the right-wing Naftali Bennett (Rainbow Coalition). This represented the political decline of the last Jewish emperor, Netanyahu, after 12 years in power but following the atavistic endemism of all Jewish governments, the Bennett government continued with the systematic campaign of illegal settlements whose penultimate episode would be the announcement of the creation of the new colonies of Asif and Matar with the confessed objective of “doubling the population of the Golan Heights” after receiving the blessings of both the Trump and Biden Administrations and would have sealed alliances with the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia to form an entente against Iran, for which it will once again use the invisible dictatorship of fear of the Third Holocaust.
Israel considers Iran “the largest exporter of terror and violation of world rights in the world while it continues to enrich uranium and is dangerously close to obtaining a nuclear bomb” and Joe Biden would have given in to pressure from AIPAC and in a joint statement with acting Israeli Prime Minister Yair Lapid on the sidelines of his current visit to Israel, he has promised that “the US will use all elements of its national power to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon.” It should be remembered that the wear and tear suffered by Biden after the fiasco in Afghanistan, runaway inflation and the possible entry into recession of the economy next year after the war in Ukraine, could lead to the Republican victory in the 2022 midterm elections that would anticipate a Trump’s triumphant return in the 2024 Presidential elections and what would be a paradigm of the recent Republican victory in the State of Virginia. Given that US strategic reserves are at an all-time high and the US shale industry has managed to take flight due to runaway crude coupled with the growing challenge to US hegemony posed by the Chinese colossus, it could force Joe Biden to use an initial surprise attack by Israel on Iran to start a new war in the Middle East with the dual objective of drying up China’s energy sources and raising its popularity rating to be re-elected in the future Presidential Elections of 2024.

According to a report by the Veterans Today portal, “Israel would be moving air defense weapons, long-range artillery, helicopters and F-15 fighter planes to Erbil, the capital of Iraqi Kurdistan for a broader war against Iran” (Operation Persia) that could be unleashed in the coming months. Thus, after the fiascoes in Syria, Libya and Iraq, Iran would be the new bait for the Anglo-Jewish plan of the Machiavellian Plan outlined by the Anglo-Jewish Alliance in 1960 to attract both Russia and China and provoke a great regional conflict that will mark future of the area in the coming years and that it would be a new local episode that would be framed in the return to the recurring endemism of the US-Russia Cold War. This conflict could involve the three superpowers (USA, China and Russia) counting as necessary collaborations the regional powers (Israel, Syria, Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia and Iran), covering the geographical space that extends from the Mediterranean arc ( Libya, Syria and Lebanon) to Yemen and Somalia, with Iraq as the epicenter and recalling the Vietnam War with Lindon B. Johnson (1963-1969)

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Germán Gorráiz López

Germán Gorráiz López is a political analyst writing on economic and geopolitical issues. His articles appear in a number of publications in Europe and the United States.

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